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Brazil Serie C · BR

Ferroviaria SP vs AD Confianca

29 Aug 2026 · 22:00
MARKET CONSENSUS

Strong Home Lean

Home 66.3%
Draw 21.6%
Away 12.1%

Consensus based on 5 bookmakers after removing the bookmaker margin. The leading outcome is ahead by 44.6 percentage points.

PERFORMANCE

Ferroviaria SP has the stronger recent profile

The home side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack

Ferroviaria SP AD Confianca
Shots / match 15.3 11.5
On target / match 5.0 3.3

Defence

Ferroviaria SP AD Confianca
Shots allowed / match 10.5 15.3
On target allowed / match 3.8 6.5

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Ferroviaria SP ↑ +0.01 (+0.7%)
AD Confianca ↑ +0.49 (+6.4%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.

STOCHASTIC VIEW

Quantitative context

Performance4 -1.691
Shot rating 34
Shots-on-target rating 18
Qualified model signal None
INTERPRETATION

Home Lean

Market consensus and recent performance point toward the home side, but the StochasticBet model has not generated a qualified signal.

No direct betting recommendation is generated.