Universidad de Chile (W) vs Huachipato (W)

05 Sep 2026 · 23:00

OPPORTUNITY

SLIGHT EDGE HOME +2.9 pp

Universidad de Chile (W)

Huachipato (W)

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 88.9% DRAW 8.0% AWAY 3.1%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 86.0% 1.09 DRAW 9.9% 9.50 AWAY 4.1% 23.00

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet sees a slight edge for Universidad de Chile (W) relative to the market.

Our calibrated model estimates a 88.9% win probability, compared with 86.0% implied by the market. The 2.9 percentage-point difference suggests a modest divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Universidad de Chile (W) has the stronger recent profile

The home side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Universidad de Chile (W) Huachipato (W)

Shots 16.8 · On target 4.8 Shots 6.5 · On target 3.0

Recent attacking output favours Universidad de Chile (W), combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Universidad de Chile (W) Huachipato (W)

Shots allowed 8.0 · On target allowed 3.5 Shots allowed 14.8 · On target allowed 7.8

Universidad de Chile (W) has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Universidad de Chile (W) Huachipato (W)

The combined recent performance profile favours Universidad de Chile (W).

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Universidad de Chile (W) = (0.0%)

Huachipato (W) = (0.0%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.