Longford Town vs Cork City

26 Sep 2026 · 20:30

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.4 pp

Longford Town

Cork City

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 21.9% DRAW 22.1% AWAY 56.0%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 22.4% 4.35 DRAW 22.9% 4.25 AWAY 54.7% 1.78

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.4 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Cork City

The away side shows the stronger recent attacking profile, while the defensive comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Longford Town Cork City

Shots 7.5 · On target 3.3 Shots 12.0 · On target 5.5

Recent attacking output favours Cork City, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Longford Town Cork City

Shots allowed 10.3 · On target allowed 5.0 Shots allowed 10.3 · On target allowed 4.3

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Longford Town Cork City

The combined recent performance profile favours Cork City.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home strengthening

Longford Town ↓ -0.44 (-9.1%)

Cork City ↓ -0.05 (-2.5%)

The home price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the home side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.