UCD vs Bray Wanderers

25 Sep 2026 · 20:45

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.1 pp

UCD

Bray Wanderers

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 34.3% DRAW 25.6% AWAY 40.1%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 34.8% 2.78 DRAW 26.2% 3.70 AWAY 39.0% 2.48

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.1 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Defensive Edge: Bray Wanderers

The away side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

UCD Bray Wanderers

Shots 11.3 · On target 4.8 Shots 12.3 · On target 4.5

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

UCD Bray Wanderers

Shots allowed 8.8 · On target allowed 4.5 Shots allowed 7.0 · On target allowed 2.0

Bray Wanderers has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

UCD Bray Wanderers

The combined recent performance profile favours Bray Wanderers.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away strengthening

UCD ↑ +0.50 (+21.9%)

Bray Wanderers ↓ -0.30 (-10.8%)

The away price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the away side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.