Treaty United FC vs Finn Harps

25 Sep 2026 · 20:45

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.4 pp

Treaty United FC

Finn Harps

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 57.6% DRAW 22.3% AWAY 20.2%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 58.6% 1.63 DRAW 22.6% 4.23 AWAY 18.8% 5.09

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.4 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Finn Harps

The away side shows the stronger recent attacking profile, while the defensive comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Treaty United FC Finn Harps

Shots 5.3 · On target 2.3 Shots 8.8 · On target 4.5

Recent attacking output favours Finn Harps, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Treaty United FC Finn Harps

Shots allowed 10.0 · On target allowed 4.3 Shots allowed 10.3 · On target allowed 5.0

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Treaty United FC Finn Harps

The combined recent performance profile favours Finn Harps.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Treaty United FC ↑ +0.01 (+0.3%)

Finn Harps ↑ +0.10 (+2.2%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.