Kerry FC vs Wexford FC

25 Sep 2026 · 20:45

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.7 pp

Kerry FC

Wexford FC

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 40.3% DRAW 25.9% AWAY 33.8%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 41.6% 2.29 DRAW 26.3% 3.62 AWAY 32.1% 2.97

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.7 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Wexford FC has the stronger recent profile

The away side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Kerry FC Wexford FC

Shots 8.5 · On target 4.3 Shots 10.5 · On target 4.8

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Kerry FC Wexford FC

Shots allowed 9.8 · On target allowed 5.5 Shots allowed 8.0 · On target allowed 3.3

Wexford FC has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Kerry FC Wexford FC

The combined recent performance profile favours Wexford FC.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away strengthening

Kerry FC ↑ +0.19 (+9.0%)

Wexford FC ↓ -0.21 (-6.6%)

The away price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the away side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.