Tobol Kostanay vs FC Elimai Semey

17 Sep 2026 · 16:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +2.4 pp

Tobol Kostanay

FC Elimai Semey

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 46.0% DRAW 26.2% AWAY 27.8%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 43.6% 2.16 DRAW 26.8% 3.51 AWAY 29.6% 3.18

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 2.4 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Tobol Kostanay

The home side shows the stronger recent attacking profile, while the defensive comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Tobol Kostanay FC Elimai Semey

Shots 14.5 · On target 6.8 Shots 9.5 · On target 2.5

Recent attacking output favours Tobol Kostanay, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Tobol Kostanay FC Elimai Semey

Shots allowed 12.8 · On target allowed 7.3 Shots allowed 9.3 · On target allowed 6.3

FC Elimai Semey has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Tobol Kostanay FC Elimai Semey

The combined recent performance profile favours Tobol Kostanay.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Tobol Kostanay ↓ -0.06 (-2.7%)

FC Elimai Semey ↑ +0.06 (+1.8%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.