FK Atyrau vs Ordabasy

17 Sep 2026 · 17:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.2 pp

FK Atyrau

Ordabasy

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 13.8% DRAW 22.9% AWAY 63.3%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 14.5% 6.46 DRAW 23.4% 4.02 AWAY 62.1% 1.51

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.2 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Ordabasy has the stronger recent profile

The away side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

FK Atyrau Ordabasy

Shots 11.5 · On target 3.3 Shots 16.8 · On target 6.8

Recent attacking output favours Ordabasy, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

FK Atyrau Ordabasy

Shots allowed 9.0 · On target allowed 4.5 Shots allowed 8.3 · On target allowed 4.0

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

FK Atyrau Ordabasy

The combined recent performance profile favours Ordabasy.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away strengthening

FK Atyrau ↑ +1.53 (+30.9%)

Ordabasy ↓ -0.12 (-7.2%)

The away price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the away side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.