FC Altai Semey vs Irtysh Pavlodar

18 Sep 2026 · 14:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.4 pp

FC Altai Semey

Irtysh Pavlodar

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 37.9% DRAW 29.1% AWAY 33.0%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 39.4% 2.40 DRAW 29.0% 3.26 AWAY 31.6% 3.00

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.4 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: FC Altai Semey

The away side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

FC Altai Semey Irtysh Pavlodar

Shots 13.0 · On target 5.5 Shots 11.0 · On target 4.5

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

FC Altai Semey Irtysh Pavlodar

Shots allowed 15.3 · On target allowed 6.3 Shots allowed 7.8 · On target allowed 4.3

Irtysh Pavlodar has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

FC Altai Semey Irtysh Pavlodar

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home strengthening

FC Altai Semey ↓ -0.24 (-9.1%)

Irtysh Pavlodar ↑ +0.41 (+15.7%)

The home price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the home side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.