Irtysh Pavlodar vs Okzhetpes Kokshetau

13 Sep 2026 · 13:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.1 pp

Irtysh Pavlodar

Okzhetpes Kokshetau

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 45.8% DRAW 23.2% AWAY 31.0%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 46.2% 2.07 DRAW 23.9% 4.00 AWAY 29.9% 3.20

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.1 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Okzhetpes Kokshetau

Recent attacking and defensive numbers do not show a clear overall edge.

Attack Recent attacking output

Irtysh Pavlodar Okzhetpes Kokshetau

Shots 10.3 · On target 4.0 Shots 11.3 · On target 5.5

Recent attacking output favours Okzhetpes Kokshetau, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Irtysh Pavlodar Okzhetpes Kokshetau

Shots allowed 10.5 · On target allowed 6.5 Shots allowed 11.8 · On target allowed 4.3

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Irtysh Pavlodar Okzhetpes Kokshetau

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home strengthening

Irtysh Pavlodar ↓ -0.88 (-29.9%)

Okzhetpes Kokshetau ↑ +0.86 (+36.7%)

The home price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the home side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.