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Latvia 1. Liga · LV

RFS II vs Skanstes SK

14 Sep 2026 · 16:00
CLEAR EDGE AWAY +4.9 pp
RFS II
Skanstes SK
HOME 35.8% DRAW 20.9% AWAY 43.3%
HOME 39.5% 2.30 DRAW 22.2% 4.10 AWAY 38.3% 2.37

StochasticBet rates Skanstes SK clearly higher than the market does.

Our calibrated model estimates a 43.3% win probability, compared with 38.3% implied by the market. The 4.9 percentage-point difference indicates a clear divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Skanstes SK has the stronger recent profile

The away side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output
RFS II Skanstes SK
Shots 10.5 · On target 4.3 Shots 13.5 · On target 8.8

Recent attacking output favours Skanstes SK, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance
RFS II Skanstes SK
Shots allowed 18.5 · On target allowed 9.5 Shots allowed 14.0 · On target allowed 6.8

Skanstes SK has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence
RFS II Skanstes SK

The combined recent performance profile favours Skanstes SK.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home strengthening

RFS II ↓ -0.25 (-9.8%)
Skanstes SK ↑ +0.27 (+12.9%)

The home price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the home side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.