Riga FC II vs Skanstes SK

07 Sep 2026 · 17:00

OPPORTUNITY

SLIGHT EDGE AWAY +3.3 pp

Riga FC II

Skanstes SK

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 41.4% DRAW 23.5% AWAY 35.1%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 44.0% 2.09 DRAW 24.2% 3.80 AWAY 31.9% 2.88

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet sees a slight edge for Skanstes SK relative to the market.

Our calibrated model estimates a 35.1% win probability, compared with 31.9% implied by the market. The 3.3 percentage-point difference suggests a modest divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Skanstes SK

The away side shows the stronger recent attacking profile, while the defensive comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Riga FC II Skanstes SK

Shots 7.0 · On target 2.8 Shots 14.0 · On target 8.0

Recent attacking output favours Skanstes SK, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Riga FC II Skanstes SK

Shots allowed 13.3 · On target allowed 6.3 Shots allowed 14.5 · On target allowed 6.8

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Riga FC II Skanstes SK

The combined recent performance profile favours Skanstes SK.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Riga FC II ↑ +0.04 (+2.0%)

Skanstes SK ↑ +0.08 (+3.0%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.