Marupes SC vs Riga FC II

20 Sep 2026 · 17:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +2.2 pp

Marupes SC

Riga FC II

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 37.8% DRAW 25.2% AWAY 37.0%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 35.6% 2.60 DRAW 25.7% 3.60 AWAY 38.6% 2.40

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 2.2 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Mixed Performance

The overall recent shot balance favours the home side, although neither attack nor defence dominates every measure.

Attack Recent attacking output

Marupes SC Riga FC II

Shots 9.5 · On target 3.5 Shots 8.0 · On target 3.8

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Marupes SC Riga FC II

Shots allowed 10.8 · On target allowed 4.5 Shots allowed 10.5 · On target allowed 6.5

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Marupes SC Riga FC II

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away strengthening

Marupes SC ↑ +0.44 (+20.4%)

Riga FC II ↓ -0.33 (-12.0%)

The away price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the away side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.