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New Zealand Northern League · NZ

Bay Olympic vs Birkenhead United

29 Aug 2026 · 05:00
MARKET CONSENSUS

Strong Away Lean

Home 9.6%
Draw 14.3%
Away 76.1%

Consensus based on 5 bookmakers after removing the bookmaker margin. The leading outcome is ahead by 61.8 percentage points.

PERFORMANCE

Defensive Edge: Birkenhead United

The away side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack

Bay Olympic Birkenhead United
Shots / match 10.8 10.8
On target / match 5.0 5.3

Defence

Bay Olympic Birkenhead United
Shots allowed / match 18.3 4.5
On target allowed / match 9.5 1.5

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home weakening

Bay Olympic ↑ +1.50 (+15.8%)
Birkenhead United = (0.0%)

The home price has moved clearly higher, while the away price has remained broadly stable.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.

STOCHASTIC VIEW

Quantitative context

Performance4 0.289
Shot rating -55
Shots-on-target rating -33
Qualified model signal None
INTERPRETATION

Away Lean

Market consensus and recent performance point toward the away side, but the StochasticBet model has not generated a qualified signal.

No direct betting recommendation is generated.