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New Zealand Southern League · NZ

Nomads United vs Selwyn United

30 Aug 2026 · 03:00
MARKET CONSENSUS

Strong Home Lean

Home 81.2%
Draw 11.4%
Away 7.4%

Consensus based on 4 bookmakers after removing the bookmaker margin. The leading outcome is ahead by 69.8 percentage points.

PERFORMANCE

Nomads United has the stronger recent profile

The home side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output
Nomads United Selwyn United

Recent attacking output favours Nomads United, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance
Nomads United Selwyn United

Nomads United has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence
Nomads United Selwyn United

The combined recent performance profile favours Nomads United.

Attack

Nomads United Selwyn United
Shots / match 10.8 8.8
On target / match 7.0 3.0

Defence

Nomads United Selwyn United
Shots allowed / match 5.5 13.8
On target allowed / match 2.5 7.0

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away weakening

Nomads United ↑ +0.01 (+0.5%)
Selwyn United ↑ +8.50 (+89.5%)

The away price has moved clearly higher, while the home price has remained broadly stable.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.

STOCHASTIC VIEW

Quantitative context

Performance4 -2.045
Shot rating 41
Shots-on-target rating 34
Qualified model signal None
INTERPRETATION

Home Lean

Market consensus and recent performance point toward the home side, but the StochasticBet model has not generated a qualified signal.

No direct betting recommendation is generated.