FK Auda vs RFS

20 Sep 2026 · 17:00

OPPORTUNITY

SLIGHT EDGE HOME +3.3 pp

FK Auda

RFS

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 24.3% DRAW 22.7% AWAY 53.1%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 21.0% 4.50 DRAW 22.5% 4.19 AWAY 56.5% 1.67

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet sees a slight edge for FK Auda relative to the market.

Our calibrated model estimates a 24.3% win probability, compared with 21.0% implied by the market. The 3.3 percentage-point difference suggests a modest divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

FK Auda has the stronger recent profile

The home side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

FK Auda RFS

Shots 14.8 · On target 5.3 Shots 12.5 · On target 4.8

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

FK Auda RFS

Shots allowed 4.8 · On target allowed 1.8 Shots allowed 8.0 · On target allowed 2.8

FK Auda has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

FK Auda RFS

The combined recent performance profile favours FK Auda.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home weakening

FK Auda ↑ +0.37 (+9.0%)

RFS ↓ -0.04 (-2.3%)

The home price has moved clearly higher, while the away price has remained broadly stable.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.