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New Zealand Southern League · NZ

Northern AFC vs Christchurch United

30 Aug 2026 · 03:00
MARKET CONSENSUS

Away Lean

Home 21.4%
Draw 21.7%
Away 56.9%

Consensus based on 5 bookmakers after removing the bookmaker margin. The leading outcome is ahead by 35.3 percentage points.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Northern AFC

The away side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output
Northern AFC Christchurch United

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance
Northern AFC Christchurch United

Christchurch United has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence
Northern AFC Christchurch United

The combined recent performance profile favours Christchurch United.

Attack

Northern AFC Christchurch United
Shots / match 8.3 7.3
On target / match 4.3 3.8

Defence

Northern AFC Christchurch United
Shots allowed / match 20.3 11.3
On target allowed / match 11.8 6.5

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away strengthening

Northern AFC ↑ +1.60 (+47.1%)
Christchurch United ↓ -0.12 (-6.7%)

The away price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the away side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.

STOCHASTIC VIEW

Quantitative context

Performance4 -0.236
Shot rating -32
Shots-on-target rating -19
Qualified model signal None
INTERPRETATION

Away Lean

Market consensus and recent performance point toward the away side, but the StochasticBet model has not generated a qualified signal.

No direct betting recommendation is generated.