Changchun Yatai vs Ningbo Professional FC

05 Sep 2026 · 13:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.7 pp

Changchun Yatai

Ningbo Professional FC

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 51.9% DRAW 24.9% AWAY 23.2%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 52.3% 1.86 DRAW 25.2% 3.86 AWAY 22.5% 4.33

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.7 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Defensive Edge: Ningbo Professional FC

The away side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Changchun Yatai Ningbo Professional FC

Shots 7.0 · On target 4.0 Shots 7.8 · On target 3.8

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Changchun Yatai Ningbo Professional FC

Shots allowed 10.8 · On target allowed 4.8 Shots allowed 9.0 · On target allowed 4.5

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Changchun Yatai Ningbo Professional FC

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home strengthening

Changchun Yatai ↓ -0.17 (-8.4%)

Ningbo Professional FC ↑ +0.97 (+28.7%)

The home price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the home side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.