Shijiazhuang Gongfu FC vs Shenzhen Juniors

13 Sep 2026 · 13:30

OPPORTUNITY

SLIGHT EDGE AWAY +3.3 pp

Shijiazhuang Gongfu FC

Shenzhen Juniors

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 22.1% DRAW 28.2% AWAY 49.7%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 24.9% 3.80 DRAW 28.7% 3.30 AWAY 46.4% 2.04

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet sees a slight edge for Shenzhen Juniors relative to the market.

Our calibrated model estimates a 49.7% win probability, compared with 46.4% implied by the market. The 3.3 percentage-point difference suggests a modest divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Shenzhen Juniors has the stronger recent profile

The away side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Shijiazhuang Gongfu FC Shenzhen Juniors

Shots 5.8 · On target 2.8 Shots 14.3 · On target 6.0

Recent attacking output favours Shenzhen Juniors, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Shijiazhuang Gongfu FC Shenzhen Juniors

Shots allowed 10.5 · On target allowed 3.5 Shots allowed 7.8 · On target allowed 3.3

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Shijiazhuang Gongfu FC Shenzhen Juniors

The combined recent performance profile favours Shenzhen Juniors.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away strengthening

Shijiazhuang Gongfu FC ↑ +0.78 (+25.6%)

Shenzhen Juniors ↓ -0.34 (-14.1%)

The away price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the away side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.