Meizhou Hakka vs Nanjing City

13 Sep 2026 · 13:30

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.6 pp

Meizhou Hakka

Nanjing City

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 34.0% DRAW 27.6% AWAY 38.4%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 34.4% 2.73 DRAW 27.8% 3.37 AWAY 37.8% 2.48

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.6 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Nanjing City has the stronger recent profile

The away side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Meizhou Hakka Nanjing City

Shots 6.0 · On target 2.8 Shots 7.8 · On target 3.8

Recent attacking output favours Nanjing City, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Meizhou Hakka Nanjing City

Shots allowed 11.3 · On target allowed 5.8 Shots allowed 10.0 · On target allowed 5.8

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Meizhou Hakka Nanjing City

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Meizhou Hakka ↑ +0.07 (+2.6%)

Nanjing City ↓ -0.12 (-4.6%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.