Suzhou Dongwu vs Foshan Nanshi

12 Sep 2026 · 13:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.5 pp

Suzhou Dongwu

Foshan Nanshi

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 61.9% DRAW 22.3% AWAY 15.8%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 60.4% 1.61 DRAW 23.1% 4.21 AWAY 16.5% 5.88

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.5 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Suzhou Dongwu has the stronger recent profile

The home side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Suzhou Dongwu Foshan Nanshi

Shots 7.5 · On target 4.0 Shots 7.0 · On target 2.5

Recent attacking output favours Suzhou Dongwu, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Suzhou Dongwu Foshan Nanshi

Shots allowed 9.0 · On target allowed 3.8 Shots allowed 10.0 · On target allowed 5.3

Suzhou Dongwu has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Suzhou Dongwu Foshan Nanshi

The combined recent performance profile favours Suzhou Dongwu.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Suzhou Dongwu ↓ -0.05 (-3.0%)

Foshan Nanshi ↑ +1.41 (+31.4%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.