Yanbian Longding vs Guangdong GZ-Power

18 Sep 2026 · 12:00

OPPORTUNITY

CLEAR EDGE AWAY +4.6 pp

Yanbian Longding

Guangdong GZ-Power

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 21.1% DRAW 24.7% AWAY 54.2%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 24.5% 3.85 DRAW 25.9% 3.64 AWAY 49.6% 1.90

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet rates Guangdong GZ-Power clearly higher than the market does.

Our calibrated model estimates a 54.2% win probability, compared with 49.6% implied by the market. The 4.6 percentage-point difference indicates a clear divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Guangdong GZ-Power has the stronger recent profile

The away side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Yanbian Longding Guangdong GZ-Power

Shots 5.5 · On target 2.5 Shots 12.5 · On target 6.0

Recent attacking output favours Guangdong GZ-Power, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Yanbian Longding Guangdong GZ-Power

Shots allowed 9.8 · On target allowed 5.5 Shots allowed 6.3 · On target allowed 2.0

Guangdong GZ-Power has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Yanbian Longding Guangdong GZ-Power

The combined recent performance profile favours Guangdong GZ-Power.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away strengthening

Yanbian Longding ↑ +0.84 (+27.7%)

Guangdong GZ-Power ↓ -0.24 (-11.2%)

The away price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the away side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.