Ningbo Professional FC vs Shaanxi Union

12 Sep 2026 · 13:00

OPPORTUNITY

SLIGHT EDGE AWAY +2.8 pp

Ningbo Professional FC

Shaanxi Union

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 27.9% DRAW 28.7% AWAY 43.3%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 30.5% 3.14 DRAW 29.0% 3.30 AWAY 40.5% 2.36

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet sees a slight edge for Shaanxi Union relative to the market.

Our calibrated model estimates a 43.3% win probability, compared with 40.5% implied by the market. The 2.8 percentage-point difference suggests a modest divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Shaanxi Union has the stronger recent profile

The away side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Ningbo Professional FC Shaanxi Union

Shots 6.8 · On target 2.8 Shots 9.8 · On target 5.0

Recent attacking output favours Shaanxi Union, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Ningbo Professional FC Shaanxi Union

Shots allowed 9.8 · On target allowed 4.8 Shots allowed 5.5 · On target allowed 2.8

Shaanxi Union has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Ningbo Professional FC Shaanxi Union

The combined recent performance profile favours Shaanxi Union.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Ningbo Professional FC ↑ +0.45 (+17.2%)

Shaanxi Union ↓ -0.08 (-3.2%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.