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South Korea Women K League · KR

Gyeongju (W) vs Seoul Amazones (W)

28 Oct 2026 · 11:00
FOOTBALL MATCH INTELLIGENCE · MATCH OVERVIEW

Match Overview

Model vs Market

The model identifies a slight model-market difference for a home win for Gyeongju (W). The difference indicates only a limited disagreement with market expectations.

Recent Performance

The home side have experienced mixed results recently.

The visitors have maintained an unbeaten run. Across the matches with available shooting data, their opponents have held a modest advantage in shooting volume.

Pre-Match Betting Perspective

Despite the positive model-market difference, the available Bet365 pre-match reference odds of 1.90 do not exceed the model's estimated fair odds of approximately 2.03. At this price, a home win for Gyeongju (W) does not appear sufficiently attractive. A more favourable price before kick-off would be needed.

Statistical Context & Data Notes

Historical samples may involve different opponents, competitions and dates; shared fixtures are not independent. Missing shooting data are excluded. No xG, shot-quality or opponent-strength adjustment. Editorial selection thresholds are not significance tests; no prediction is implied.

Historical performance provides context rather than a prediction of the final result.

FOOTBALL MATCH INTELLIGENCE

Model vs Market

MARKET · BET365
HOME MODEL > MARKET
Gyeongju (W)
STOCHASTICBET 49.2%
BET365 47.3% odd 1.90
DIFFERENCE +1.9 pp
DRAW
Draw
STOCHASTICBET 24.7%
BET365 25.0% odd 3.60
DIFFERENCE -0.2 pp
AWAY
Seoul Amazones (W)
STOCHASTICBET 26.0%
BET365 27.7% odd 3.25
DIFFERENCE -1.7 pp
STOCHASTICBET
BET365 MARKET
Market · BET365 Snapshot · 27 Oct 2026 · 17:01
PERFORMANCE · LAST 4 MATCHES

Attacking Edge: Seoul Amazones (W)

Recent attacking and defensive numbers do not show a clear overall edge.

Attack Recent attacking output
Gyeongju (W) Seoul Amazones (W)
Shots 7.0 · On target 3.0 Shots 7.8 · On target 3.8

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance
Gyeongju (W) Seoul Amazones (W)
Shots allowed 6.8 · On target allowed 2.3 Shots allowed 10.0 · On target allowed 2.8

Gyeongju (W) has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence
Gyeongju (W) Seoul Amazones (W)

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

Market Momentum

Normalized implied probability movement · percentage points · as of 2026-10-27 22:33:02

6h window

OutcomePinnacleBet365
HOME — +0.00 pp
DRAW — +0.00 pp
AWAY — +0.00 pp

No qualified strong agreement in this window.

24h window

OutcomePinnacleBet365
HOME — —
DRAW — —
AWAY — —

No qualified strong agreement in this window.

Based on available observation endpoints; continuous coverage is not verified. Unavailable values are not zero movements. Market movement is descriptive, not a prediction.

Explore recent match statisticsCharts and detailed data
RECENT FORM · LAST 6 MATCHES

Recent matches compared

These charts compare recent performance with the league average. The central line represents the benchmark: values to the right are higher and values to the left are lower. Higher values are not always better, particularly for defensive metrics.
Benchmark: South Korea Women K League · 86 matches with scores · 48 with shots · coverage 55.8%.
Historical window: 180 days before kickoff. Shooting benchmarks require at least 30 complete matches.

How have the teams performed recently?

Most recent first · W win · D draw · L loss

Gyeongju (W)6 matches · 3 home / 3 away
LLDWDL
Shot data available for 2/6 matches
Seoul Amazones (W)6 matches · 4 home / 2 away
WWDDWW
Shot data available for 4/6 matches

Shots taken

Shots per match · difference from league average

0 = league average
Gyeongju (W)Home team
—Insufficient data
Seoul Amazones (W)Away team
−0.37.8 actual
Gyeongju (W): — · league average — · 2 valid matchesSeoul Amazones (W): 7.8 · league average 8.0 · 4 valid matches

Shots conceded

Opposition shots per match · difference from league average

0 = league average
Gyeongju (W)Home team
—Insufficient data
Seoul Amazones (W)Away team
+1.510.0 actual
Gyeongju (W): — · league average — · 2 valid matchesSeoul Amazones (W): 10.0 · league average 8.5 · 4 valid matches

Shots on target

Shots on target per match · difference from league average

0 = league average
Gyeongju (W)Home team
—Insufficient data
Seoul Amazones (W)Away team
+0.33.8 actual
Gyeongju (W): — · league average — · 2 valid matchesSeoul Amazones (W): 3.8 · league average 3.4 · 4 valid matches

Shots on target conceded

Opposition shots on target per match · difference from league average

0 = league average
Gyeongju (W)Home team
—Insufficient data
Seoul Amazones (W)Away team
−0.92.8 actual
Gyeongju (W): — · league average — · 2 valid matchesSeoul Amazones (W): 2.8 · league average 3.6 · 4 valid matches

Goals scored

Goals per match · difference from league average

0 = league average
Gyeongju (W)Home team
−0.241.00 actual
Seoul Amazones (W)Away team
−0.221.00 actual
Gyeongju (W): 1.00 · league average 1.24 · 6 valid matchesSeoul Amazones (W): 1.00 · league average 1.22 · 6 valid matches

Shot conversion

Goals per shot · difference from league average in percentage points

0 = league average
Gyeongju (W)Home team
—Insufficient data
Seoul Amazones (W)Away team
−5.9 pp9.7% actual
Gyeongju (W): — · league average — · 2 valid matchesSeoul Amazones (W): 9.7% · league average 15.6% · 4 valid matches

Goals conceded per shots faced

Goals conceded per opposition shot · difference from league average in percentage points

0 = league average
Gyeongju (W)Home team
—Insufficient data
Seoul Amazones (W)Away team
−12.7 pp2.5% actual
Gyeongju (W): — · league average — · 2 valid matchesSeoul Amazones (W): 2.5% · league average 15.2% · 4 valid matches

Individual match details

Gyeongju (W) · individual matches
DateVenueResultShots for/againstOn target for/against
07/10/2026Home1–2——
03/10/2026Home0–1——
05/09/2026Away1–1——
02/09/2026Away1–03 / 31 / 0
28/08/2026Away1–116 / 118 / 5
22/08/2026Home2–3——
Seoul Amazones (W) · individual matches
DateVenueResultShots for/againstOn target for/against
07/10/2026Home1–011 / 146 / 4
03/10/2026Away1–0——
23/09/2026Home1–10 / 20 / 0
14/09/2026Home0–03 / 142 / 6
05/09/2026Away2–0——
02/09/2026Home1–017 / 107 / 1

The recent matches are the latest available before kickoff within the historical window and may include other competitions. The benchmark refers to the event league and is weighted by the home/away composition of the recent sample. Goals and shots may have different data coverage; conversion rates use only matches with paired observations. Benchmarks are reconstructed from match dates rather than certified data-capture timestamps. Opponent strength and chance quality (xG) are not adjusted for. Some statistics may be incomplete or anomalous. These indicators are descriptive, not predictive.