NuPS vs PPJ/Ruoholahti

25 Sep 2026 · 17:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.0 pp

NuPS

PPJ/Ruoholahti

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 49.2% DRAW 22.8% AWAY 28.0%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 49.5% 2.00 DRAW 23.6% 4.20 AWAY 27.0% 3.67

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.0 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: PPJ/Ruoholahti

The away side shows the stronger recent attacking profile, while the defensive comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

NuPS PPJ/Ruoholahti

Shots 10.3 · On target 3.0 Shots 13.5 · On target 4.5

Recent attacking output favours PPJ/Ruoholahti, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

NuPS PPJ/Ruoholahti

Shots allowed 5.8 · On target allowed 4.8 Shots allowed 7.5 · On target allowed 4.5

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

NuPS PPJ/Ruoholahti

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away strengthening

NuPS ↑ +0.59 (+41.8%)

PPJ/Ruoholahti ↓ -1.34 (-26.7%)

The away price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the away side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.