Nykarleby IK vs LBK

17 Sep 2026 · 17:00

OPPORTUNITY

CLEAR EDGE AWAY +4.5 pp

Nykarleby IK

LBK

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 42.1% DRAW 19.7% AWAY 38.2%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 45.5% 2.02 DRAW 20.9% 4.40 AWAY 33.7% 2.73

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet rates LBK clearly higher than the market does.

Our calibrated model estimates a 38.2% win probability, compared with 33.7% implied by the market. The 4.5 percentage-point difference indicates a clear divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Defensive Edge: LBK

The away side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Nykarleby IK LBK

Shots 11.0 · On target 4.5 Shots 7.5 · On target 4.8

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Nykarleby IK LBK

Shots allowed 23.5 · On target allowed 7.3 Shots allowed 8.0 · On target allowed 5.0

LBK has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Nykarleby IK LBK

The combined recent performance profile favours LBK.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Nykarleby IK = (0.0%)

LBK = (0.0%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.