KPV Akatemia vs Nykarleby IK

09 Sep 2026 · 17:30

OPPORTUNITY

CLEAR EDGE HOME +5.2 pp

KPV Akatemia

Nykarleby IK

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 55.9% DRAW 19.9% AWAY 24.2%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 50.7% 1.85 DRAW 21.6% 4.33 AWAY 27.7% 3.39

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet rates KPV Akatemia clearly higher than the market does.

Our calibrated model estimates a 55.9% win probability, compared with 50.7% implied by the market. The 5.2 percentage-point difference indicates a clear divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

KPV Akatemia has the stronger recent profile

The home side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

KPV Akatemia Nykarleby IK

Shots 13.0 · On target 6.8 Shots 10.8 · On target 4.5

Recent attacking output favours KPV Akatemia, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

KPV Akatemia Nykarleby IK

Shots allowed 12.5 · On target allowed 7.0 Shots allowed 20.3 · On target allowed 7.3

KPV Akatemia has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

KPV Akatemia Nykarleby IK

The combined recent performance profile favours KPV Akatemia.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home strengthening

KPV Akatemia ↓ -0.10 (-5.1%)

Nykarleby IK ↑ +0.77 (+29.1%)

The home price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the home side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.