FC LeKi vs Tampere Utd II

11 Sep 2026 · 17:30

OPPORTUNITY

STRONG EDGE AWAY +7.5 pp

FC LeKi

Tampere Utd II

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 13.5% DRAW 16.3% AWAY 70.2%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 18.2% 5.30 DRAW 19.1% 5.04 AWAY 62.8% 1.53

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet rates Tampere Utd II substantially higher than the market does.

Our calibrated model estimates a 70.2% win probability, compared with 62.8% implied by the market. The 7.5 percentage-point difference indicates a strong divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Tampere Utd II has the stronger recent profile

The away side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

FC LeKi Tampere Utd II

Shots 15.3 · On target 4.5 Shots 21.0 · On target 13.5

Recent attacking output favours Tampere Utd II, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

FC LeKi Tampere Utd II

Shots allowed 12.8 · On target allowed 6.8 Shots allowed 4.5 · On target allowed 1.5

Tampere Utd II has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

FC LeKi Tampere Utd II

The combined recent performance profile favours Tampere Utd II.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

FC LeKi = (0.0%)

Tampere Utd II ↑ +0.11 (+8.0%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.