TP-T vs NoPS

10 Sep 2026 · 17:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.0 pp

TP-T

NoPS

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 29.0% DRAW 20.1% AWAY 51.0%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 28.0% 3.39 DRAW 21.1% 4.50 AWAY 50.9% 1.86

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.0 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Mixed Performance

Recent attacking and defensive numbers do not show a clear overall edge.

Attack Recent attacking output

TP-T NoPS

Shots 18.8 · On target 9.5 Shots 18.5 · On target 10.0

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

TP-T NoPS

Shots allowed 11.0 · On target allowed 2.5 Shots allowed 7.8 · On target allowed 3.3

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

TP-T NoPS

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

TP-T ↑ +0.19 (+5.9%)

NoPS ↑ +0.16 (+9.5%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.