Saaksjærven Loiske vs TP-T

05 Sep 2026 · 13:00

OPPORTUNITY

STRONG EDGE AWAY +6.8 pp

Saaksjærven Loiske

TP-T

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 27.7% DRAW 20.6% AWAY 51.7%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 32.9% 2.84 DRAW 22.2% 4.20 AWAY 44.9% 2.08

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet rates TP-T substantially higher than the market does.

Our calibrated model estimates a 51.7% win probability, compared with 44.9% implied by the market. The 6.8 percentage-point difference indicates a strong divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

TP-T has the stronger recent profile

The away side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Saaksjærven Loiske TP-T

Shots 10.3 · On target 3.3 Shots 16.8 · On target 8.0

Recent attacking output favours TP-T, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Saaksjærven Loiske TP-T

Shots allowed 16.3 · On target allowed 8.3 Shots allowed 12.0 · On target allowed 3.0

TP-T has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Saaksjærven Loiske TP-T

The combined recent performance profile favours TP-T.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home strengthening

Saaksjærven Loiske ↓ -0.26 (-8.4%)

TP-T ↑ +0.28 (+15.6%)

The home price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the home side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.