NoPS vs FC LeKi

04 Sep 2026 · 17:30

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +2.3 pp

NoPS

FC LeKi

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 78.9% DRAW 12.5% AWAY 8.6%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 76.6% 1.24 DRAW 14.1% 6.75 AWAY 9.3% 10.20

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 2.3 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

NoPS has the stronger recent profile

The home side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

NoPS FC LeKi

Shots 18.0 · On target 9.3 Shots 17.5 · On target 6.8

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

NoPS FC LeKi

Shots allowed 6.5 · On target allowed 3.0 Shots allowed 10.3 · On target allowed 4.5

NoPS has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

NoPS FC LeKi

The combined recent performance profile favours NoPS.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

NoPS ↑ +0.02 (+1.5%)

FC LeKi ↑ +0.25 (+2.5%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.