KUPS Akatemia II vs PK-37

09 Sep 2026 · 18:45

OPPORTUNITY

SLIGHT EDGE AWAY +2.8 pp

KUPS Akatemia II

PK-37

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 39.5% DRAW 22.8% AWAY 37.7%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 41.4% 2.40 DRAW 23.7% 4.20 AWAY 34.9% 2.85

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet sees a slight edge for PK-37 relative to the market.

Our calibrated model estimates a 37.7% win probability, compared with 34.9% implied by the market. The 2.8 percentage-point difference suggests a modest divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: KUPS Akatemia II

The away side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

KUPS Akatemia II PK-37

Shots 16.5 · On target 6.5 Shots 7.8 · On target 5.8

Recent attacking output favours KUPS Akatemia II, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

KUPS Akatemia II PK-37

Shots allowed 18.5 · On target allowed 11.0 Shots allowed 7.3 · On target allowed 4.3

PK-37 has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

KUPS Akatemia II PK-37

The combined recent performance profile favours PK-37.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

KUPS Akatemia II ↑ +0.38 (+18.8%)

PK-37 ↑ +0.12 (+4.5%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.