ToTe/Tapio vs TiPS U21

04 Sep 2026 · 17:30

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.8 pp

ToTe/Tapio

TiPS U21

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 54.2% DRAW 18.6% AWAY 27.3%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 53.7% 1.75 DRAW 19.8% 4.75 AWAY 26.5% 3.55

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.8 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: ToTe/Tapio

Recent attacking and defensive numbers do not show a clear overall edge.

Attack Recent attacking output

ToTe/Tapio TiPS U21

Shots 9.3 · On target 5.0 Shots 9.0 · On target 3.0

Recent attacking output favours ToTe/Tapio, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

ToTe/Tapio TiPS U21

Shots allowed 16.5 · On target allowed 6.3 Shots allowed 12.5 · On target allowed 5.0

TiPS U21 has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

ToTe/Tapio TiPS U21

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

ToTe/Tapio ↓ -0.07 (-3.8%)

TiPS U21 ↑ +0.53 (+17.5%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.