Avangard Kursk vs Salyut Belgorod

12 Sep 2026 · 12:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.9 pp

Avangard Kursk

Salyut Belgorod

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 24.6% DRAW 28.3% AWAY 47.0%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 26.3% 3.46 DRAW 28.6% 3.18 AWAY 45.2% 2.01

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.9 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Salyut Belgorod has the stronger recent profile

The away side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Avangard Kursk Salyut Belgorod

Shots 7.0 · On target 3.0 Shots 9.8 · On target 3.0

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Avangard Kursk Salyut Belgorod

Shots allowed 11.3 · On target allowed 4.8 Shots allowed 6.5 · On target allowed 2.5

Salyut Belgorod has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Avangard Kursk Salyut Belgorod

The combined recent performance profile favours Salyut Belgorod.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Avangard Kursk ↑ +0.04 (+1.0%)

Salyut Belgorod ↓ -0.03 (-1.5%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.