Spartak Tambov vs FK Kvant Obninsk

26 Sep 2026 · 17:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +2.3 pp

Spartak Tambov

FK Kvant Obninsk

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 86.0% DRAW 9.2% AWAY 4.8%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 83.7% 1.06 DRAW 10.7% 8.30 AWAY 5.6% 16.00

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 2.3 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Spartak Tambov has the stronger recent profile

The home side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Spartak Tambov FK Kvant Obninsk

Shots 7.8 · On target 4.0 Shots 2.3 · On target 1.0

Recent attacking output favours Spartak Tambov, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Spartak Tambov FK Kvant Obninsk

Shots allowed 4.8 · On target allowed 1.3 Shots allowed 6.8 · On target allowed 3.8

Spartak Tambov has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Spartak Tambov FK Kvant Obninsk

The combined recent performance profile favours Spartak Tambov.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away strengthening

Spartak Tambov ↓ -0.04 (-3.3%)

FK Kvant Obninsk ↓ -7.00 (-30.4%)

The away price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the away side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.