Strogino vs Rodina-3 Moscow

26 Sep 2026 · 17:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.8 pp

Strogino

Rodina-3 Moscow

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 37.7% DRAW 25.4% AWAY 36.9%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 36.0% 2.48 DRAW 25.9% 3.44 AWAY 38.1% 2.34

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.8 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Rodina-3 Moscow

Recent attacking and defensive numbers do not show a clear overall edge.

Attack Recent attacking output

Strogino Rodina-3 Moscow

Shots 8.0 · On target 3.0 Shots 8.5 · On target 4.0

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Strogino Rodina-3 Moscow

Shots allowed 7.8 · On target allowed 2.5 Shots allowed 10.8 · On target allowed 3.3

Strogino has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Strogino Rodina-3 Moscow

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Strogino ↓ -0.07 (-2.7%)

Rodina-3 Moscow ↓ -0.08 (-3.3%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.