Strogino vs Zenit Penza

13 Sep 2026 · 13:30

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.4 pp

Strogino

Zenit Penza

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 37.8% DRAW 30.1% AWAY 32.1%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 38.3% 2.37 DRAW 29.9% 3.04 AWAY 31.8% 2.86

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.4 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Defensive Edge: Zenit Penza

The away side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Strogino Zenit Penza

Shots 7.5 · On target 2.3 Shots 4.3 · On target 2.5

Recent attacking output favours Strogino, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Strogino Zenit Penza

Shots allowed 10.8 · On target allowed 5.3 Shots allowed 6.8 · On target allowed 3.5

Zenit Penza has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Strogino Zenit Penza

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Strogino ↓ -0.05 (-2.1%)

Zenit Penza ↓ -0.04 (-1.3%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.