Zvezda St Petersburg vs FC Murom

18 Sep 2026 · 13:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.4 pp

Zvezda St Petersburg

FC Murom

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 18.7% DRAW 28.1% AWAY 53.3%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 19.9% 4.53 DRAW 28.2% 3.20 AWAY 51.9% 1.74

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.4 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: FC Murom

The away side shows the stronger recent attacking profile, while the defensive comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Zvezda St Petersburg FC Murom

Shots 4.8 · On target 1.8 Shots 10.3 · On target 5.8

Recent attacking output favours FC Murom, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Zvezda St Petersburg FC Murom

Shots allowed 8.3 · On target allowed 3.5 Shots allowed 7.3 · On target allowed 4.3

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Zvezda St Petersburg FC Murom

The combined recent performance profile favours FC Murom.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away strengthening

Zvezda St Petersburg ↑ +0.69 (+17.8%)

FC Murom ↓ -0.13 (-7.0%)

The away price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the away side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.