FC Murom vs Torpedo Vladimir

13 Sep 2026 · 16:00

OPPORTUNITY

SLIGHT EDGE HOME +2.6 pp

FC Murom

Torpedo Vladimir

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 49.8% DRAW 27.9% AWAY 22.3%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 47.3% 1.92 DRAW 28.4% 3.20 AWAY 24.4% 3.72

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet sees a slight edge for FC Murom relative to the market.

Our calibrated model estimates a 49.8% win probability, compared with 47.3% implied by the market. The 2.6 percentage-point difference suggests a modest divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

FC Murom has the stronger recent profile

The home side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

FC Murom Torpedo Vladimir

Shots 10.3 · On target 5.8 Shots 7.3 · On target 2.8

Recent attacking output favours FC Murom, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

FC Murom Torpedo Vladimir

Shots allowed 7.3 · On target allowed 4.3 Shots allowed 8.3 · On target allowed 4.8

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

FC Murom Torpedo Vladimir

The combined recent performance profile favours FC Murom.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

FC Murom ↓ -0.02 (-1.0%)

Torpedo Vladimir ↑ +0.18 (+4.9%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.