Spartak Moscow II vs Baltika-BFU Kaliningrad

13 Sep 2026 · 16:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.7 pp

Spartak Moscow II

Baltika-BFU Kaliningrad

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 29.3% DRAW 29.2% AWAY 41.5%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 30.9% 2.94 DRAW 29.3% 3.10 AWAY 39.8% 2.28

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.7 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Baltika-BFU Kaliningrad

The away side shows the stronger recent attacking profile, while the defensive comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Spartak Moscow II Baltika-BFU Kaliningrad

Shots 5.3 · On target 1.0 Shots 12.0 · On target 6.5

Recent attacking output favours Baltika-BFU Kaliningrad, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Spartak Moscow II Baltika-BFU Kaliningrad

Shots allowed 5.3 · On target allowed 2.3 Shots allowed 8.3 · On target allowed 3.8

Spartak Moscow II has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Spartak Moscow II Baltika-BFU Kaliningrad

The combined recent performance profile favours Baltika-BFU Kaliningrad.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Spartak Moscow II ↓ -0.01 (-0.2%)

Baltika-BFU Kaliningrad ↓ -0.06 (-2.6%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.