Lindö FF vs Nykopings BIS

05 Sep 2026 · 13:00

OPPORTUNITY

SLIGHT EDGE AWAY +4.0 pp

Lindö FF

Nykopings BIS

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 23.0% DRAW 23.0% AWAY 54.1%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 25.8% 3.75 DRAW 24.2% 4.00 AWAY 50.1% 1.93

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet sees a slight edge for Nykopings BIS relative to the market.

Our calibrated model estimates a 54.1% win probability, compared with 50.1% implied by the market. The 4.0 percentage-point difference suggests a modest divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Nykopings BIS has the stronger recent profile

The away side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Lindö FF Nykopings BIS

Shots 8.3 · On target 3.8 Shots 9.8 · On target 6.3

Recent attacking output favours Nykopings BIS, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Lindö FF Nykopings BIS

Shots allowed 14.0 · On target allowed 8.8 Shots allowed 9.0 · On target allowed 3.5

Nykopings BIS has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Lindö FF Nykopings BIS

The combined recent performance profile favours Nykopings BIS.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home weakening

Lindö FF ↑ +0.62 (+19.8%)

Nykopings BIS ↑ +0.01 (+0.5%)

The home price has moved clearly higher, while the away price has remained broadly stable.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.