Andorra vs Malta

24 Sep 2026 · 18:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +2.0 pp

Andorra

Malta

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 27.5% DRAW 35.8% AWAY 36.7%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 25.5% 3.81 DRAW 34.2% 2.83 AWAY 40.3% 2.41

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 2.0 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Andorra has the stronger recent profile

The home side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Andorra Malta

Shots 10.5 · On target 3.0 Shots 10.3 · On target 3.0

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Andorra Malta

Shots allowed 8.8 · On target allowed 4.0 Shots allowed 13.8 · On target allowed 5.8

Andorra has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Andorra Malta

The combined recent performance profile favours Andorra.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Andorra ↑ +0.06 (+1.6%)

Malta ↓ -0.04 (-1.7%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.