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Latvia Virsliga · LV

FK Jelgava vs BFC Daugavpils

25 Oct 2026 · 13:00
FOOTBALL MATCH INTELLIGENCE · MATCH OVERVIEW

Match Overview

Recent Performance

The home side have experienced mixed results recently. Defensive difficulties have been apparent. Their opponents have held a modest advantage in shooting volume.

The visitors have experienced mixed results recently. Across the matches with available shooting data, they have faced considerably more attempts than they have produced.

Statistical Context & Data Notes

Historical samples may involve different opponents, competitions and dates; shared fixtures are not independent. Missing shooting data are excluded. No xG, shot-quality or opponent-strength adjustment. Editorial selection thresholds are not significance tests; no prediction is implied.

Historical performance provides context rather than a prediction of the final result.

PERFORMANCE · LAST 4 MATCHES

Attacking Edge: BFC Daugavpils

The away side shows the stronger recent attacking profile, while the defensive comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output
FK Jelgava BFC Daugavpils
Shots 5.3 · On target 1.5 Shots 9.3 · On target 3.8

Recent attacking output favours BFC Daugavpils, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance
FK Jelgava BFC Daugavpils
Shots allowed 9.8 · On target allowed 4.0 Shots allowed 9.8 · On target allowed 3.5

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence
FK Jelgava BFC Daugavpils

The combined recent performance profile favours BFC Daugavpils.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

Explore recent match statisticsCharts and detailed data
RECENT FORM · LAST 6 MATCHES

Recent matches compared

These charts compare recent performance with the league average. The central line represents the benchmark: values to the right are higher and values to the left are lower. Higher values are not always better, particularly for defensive metrics.
Benchmark: Latvia Virsliga · 123 matches with scores · 121 with shots · coverage 98.4%.
Historical window: 180 days before kickoff. Shooting benchmarks require at least 30 complete matches.

How have the teams performed recently?

Most recent first · W win · D draw · L loss

FK Jelgava6 matches · 2 home / 4 away
LLLDLW
Shot data available for 6/6 matches
BFC Daugavpils6 matches · 3 home / 3 away
WWDLDD
Shot data available for 5/6 matches

Shots taken

Shots per match · difference from league average

0 = league average
FK JelgavaHome team
−2.37.5 actual
BFC DaugavpilsAway team
−1.58.4 actual
FK Jelgava: 7.5 · league average 9.8 · 6 valid matchesBFC Daugavpils: 8.4 · league average 9.9 · 5 valid matches

Shots conceded

Opposition shots per match · difference from league average

0 = league average
FK JelgavaHome team
−0.49.7 actual
BFC DaugavpilsAway team
+1.611.6 actual
FK Jelgava: 9.7 · league average 10.1 · 6 valid matchesBFC Daugavpils: 11.6 · league average 10.0 · 5 valid matches

Shots on target

Shots on target per match · difference from league average

0 = league average
FK JelgavaHome team
−1.72.5 actual
BFC DaugavpilsAway team
−1.03.2 actual
FK Jelgava: 2.5 · league average 4.2 · 6 valid matchesBFC Daugavpils: 3.2 · league average 4.2 · 5 valid matches

Shots on target conceded

Opposition shots on target per match · difference from league average

0 = league average
FK JelgavaHome team
−0.44.0 actual
BFC DaugavpilsAway team
+0.95.2 actual
FK Jelgava: 4.0 · league average 4.4 · 6 valid matchesBFC Daugavpils: 5.2 · league average 4.4 · 5 valid matches

Goals scored

Goals per match · difference from league average

0 = league average
FK JelgavaHome team
−0.351.00 actual
BFC DaugavpilsAway team
−0.131.33 actual
FK Jelgava: 1.00 · league average 1.35 · 6 valid matchesBFC Daugavpils: 1.33 · league average 1.46 · 6 valid matches

Shot conversion

Goals per shot · difference from league average in percentage points

0 = league average
FK JelgavaHome team
−0.5 pp13.3% actual
BFC DaugavpilsAway team
+0.1 pp14.3% actual
FK Jelgava: 13.3% · league average 13.8% · 6 valid matchesBFC Daugavpils: 14.3% · league average 14.2% · 5 valid matches

Goals conceded per shots faced

Goals conceded per opposition shot · difference from league average in percentage points

0 = league average
FK JelgavaHome team
+1.7 pp17.2% actual
BFC DaugavpilsAway team
−6.6 pp8.6% actual
FK Jelgava: 17.2% · league average 15.6% · 6 valid matchesBFC Daugavpils: 8.6% · league average 15.2% · 5 valid matches

Individual match details

FK Jelgava · individual matches
DateVenueResultShots for/againstOn target for/against
18/10/2026Away0–37 / 130 / 4
11/10/2026Away2–44 / 102 / 6
19/09/2026Home0–11 / 100 / 4
12/09/2026Away0–09 / 64 / 2
05/09/2026Home0–12 / 70 / 3
29/08/2026Away4–122 / 129 / 5
BFC Daugavpils · individual matches
DateVenueResultShots for/againstOn target for/against
19/10/2026Home2–15 / 134 / 2
11/10/2026Away2–112 / 86 / 3
19/09/2026Away0–010 / 61 / 3
13/09/2026Home1–210 / 124 / 6
07/09/2026Away1–15 / 191 / 12
02/09/2026Home2–2——

The recent matches are the latest available before kickoff within the historical window and may include other competitions. The benchmark refers to the event league and is weighted by the home/away composition of the recent sample. Goals and shots may have different data coverage; conversion rates use only matches with paired observations. Benchmarks are reconstructed from match dates rather than certified data-capture timestamps. Opponent strength and chance quality (xG) are not adjusted for. Some statistics may be incomplete or anomalous. These indicators are descriptive, not predictive.