← Match Center
Estonia Meistriliiga · EE

Harju JK Laagri vs FC Flora Tallinn

21 Oct 2026 · 17:00
FOOTBALL MATCH INTELLIGENCE · MATCH OVERVIEW

The Home Side’s Recent Winning Run

The home side have won their last 4 matches.

For the home side, accuracy was lower in the latest two complete-data matches (39.3% versus 59.3% in the earlier complete-data matches).

Across 6 matches with complete shooting data, the home side averaged 13.7 shots per match and conceded 1 goals in that sample. Across 6 such matches, the visitors averaged 12.7 shots per match and conceded 11 goals.

In recent matches with recorded scores, the home side averaged 2.83 goals per match, against a weighted league reference of 1.51. The visitors averaged 1.83 goals per match, against their weighted league reference of 1.51.

Statistical Context & Data Notes

Historical samples may involve different opponents, competitions and dates; shared fixtures are not independent. Missing shooting data are excluded. No xG, shot-quality or opponent-strength adjustment. Editorial selection thresholds are not significance tests; no prediction is implied.

Historical performance provides context rather than a prediction of the final result.

PERFORMANCE · LAST 4 MATCHES

Harju JK Laagri has the stronger recent profile

The home side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output
Harju JK Laagri FC Flora Tallinn
Shots 13.8 · On target 7.8 Shots 11.5 · On target 4.5

Recent attacking output favours Harju JK Laagri, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance
Harju JK Laagri FC Flora Tallinn
Shots allowed 10.8 · On target allowed 3.3 Shots allowed 11.3 · On target allowed 4.5

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence
Harju JK Laagri FC Flora Tallinn

The combined recent performance profile favours Harju JK Laagri.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

Explore recent match statisticsCharts and detailed data
RECENT FORM · LAST 6 MATCHES

Recent matches compared

These charts compare recent performance with the league average. The central line represents the benchmark: values to the right are higher and values to the left are lower. Higher values are not always better, particularly for defensive metrics.
Benchmark: Estonia Meistriliiga · 120 matches with scores · 118 with shots · coverage 98.3%.
Historical window: 180 days before kickoff. Shooting benchmarks require at least 30 complete matches.

How have the teams performed recently?

Most recent first · W win · D draw · L loss

Harju JK Laagri6 matches · 3 home / 3 away
WWWWDW
Shot data available for 6/6 matches
FC Flora Tallinn6 matches · 3 home / 3 away
WLLWWD
Shot data available for 6/6 matches

Shots taken

Shots per match · difference from league average

0 = league average
Harju JK LaagriHome team
+0.813.7 actual
FC Flora TallinnAway team
−0.212.7 actual
Harju JK Laagri: 13.7 · league average 12.9 · 6 valid matchesFC Flora Tallinn: 12.7 · league average 12.9 · 6 valid matches

Shots conceded

Opposition shots per match · difference from league average

0 = league average
Harju JK LaagriHome team
−1.211.7 actual
FC Flora TallinnAway team
−0.212.7 actual
Harju JK Laagri: 11.7 · league average 12.9 · 6 valid matchesFC Flora Tallinn: 12.7 · league average 12.9 · 6 valid matches

Shots on target

Shots on target per match · difference from league average

0 = league average
Harju JK LaagriHome team
+2.27.2 actual
FC Flora TallinnAway team
−0.64.3 actual
Harju JK Laagri: 7.2 · league average 5.0 · 6 valid matchesFC Flora Tallinn: 4.3 · league average 5.0 · 6 valid matches

Shots on target conceded

Opposition shots on target per match · difference from league average

0 = league average
Harju JK LaagriHome team
−0.84.2 actual
FC Flora TallinnAway team
+0.55.5 actual
Harju JK Laagri: 4.2 · league average 5.0 · 6 valid matchesFC Flora Tallinn: 5.5 · league average 5.0 · 6 valid matches

Goals scored

Goals per match · difference from league average

0 = league average
Harju JK LaagriHome team
+1.322.83 actual
FC Flora TallinnAway team
+0.321.83 actual
Harju JK Laagri: 2.83 · league average 1.51 · 6 valid matchesFC Flora Tallinn: 1.83 · league average 1.51 · 6 valid matches

Shot conversion

Goals per shot · difference from league average in percentage points

0 = league average
Harju JK LaagriHome team
+8.8 pp20.7% actual
FC Flora TallinnAway team
+2.6 pp14.5% actual
Harju JK Laagri: 20.7% · league average 11.9% · 6 valid matchesFC Flora Tallinn: 14.5% · league average 11.9% · 6 valid matches

Goals conceded per shots faced

Goals conceded per opposition shot · difference from league average in percentage points

0 = league average
Harju JK LaagriHome team
−10.5 pp1.4% actual
FC Flora TallinnAway team
+2.6 pp14.5% actual
Harju JK Laagri: 1.4% · league average 11.9% · 6 valid matchesFC Flora Tallinn: 14.5% · league average 11.9% · 6 valid matches

Individual match details

Harju JK Laagri · individual matches
DateVenueResultShots for/againstOn target for/against
18/10/2026Home2–018 / 86 / 3
13/10/2026Home2–010 / 135 / 4
10/10/2026Away1–07 / 197 / 6
03/10/2026Away10–020 / 313 / 0
18/09/2026Home0–016 / 46 / 3
13/09/2026Away2–111 / 236 / 9
FC Flora Tallinn · individual matches
DateVenueResultShots for/againstOn target for/against
18/10/2026Home2–014 / 106 / 6
15/10/2026Home1–36 / 141 / 5
11/10/2026Away0–213 / 93 / 4
20/09/2026Home3–213 / 128 / 3
12/09/2026Away3–218 / 156 / 10
08/09/2026Away2–212 / 162 / 5

The recent matches are the latest available before kickoff within the historical window and may include other competitions. The benchmark refers to the event league and is weighted by the home/away composition of the recent sample. Goals and shots may have different data coverage; conversion rates use only matches with paired observations. Benchmarks are reconstructed from match dates rather than certified data-capture timestamps. Opponent strength and chance quality (xG) are not adjusted for. Some statistics may be incomplete or anomalous. These indicators are descriptive, not predictive.