MPS vs PPJ/Ruoholahti

04 Sep 2026 · 18:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.6 pp

MPS

PPJ/Ruoholahti

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 39.8% DRAW 22.3% AWAY 37.9%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 39.2% 2.38 DRAW 23.3% 4.00 AWAY 37.5% 2.48

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.6 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: PPJ/Ruoholahti

Recent attacking and defensive numbers do not show a clear overall edge.

Attack Recent attacking output

MPS PPJ/Ruoholahti

Shots 7.3 · On target 3.8 Shots 11.8 · On target 4.5

Recent attacking output favours PPJ/Ruoholahti, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

MPS PPJ/Ruoholahti

Shots allowed 12.3 · On target allowed 5.3 Shots allowed 13.3 · On target allowed 6.8

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

MPS PPJ/Ruoholahti

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home strengthening

MPS ↓ -0.18 (-6.9%)

PPJ/Ruoholahti ↑ +0.32 (+14.8%)

The home price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the home side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.