JyTy vs LTU

11 Sep 2026 · 17:30

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.4 pp

JyTy

LTU

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 38.5% DRAW 22.2% AWAY 39.3%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 38.9% 2.50 DRAW 23.2% 4.20 AWAY 37.9% 2.57

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.4 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Defensive Edge: LTU

The away side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

JyTy LTU

Shots 14.0 · On target 5.8 Shots 13.3 · On target 7.3

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

JyTy LTU

Shots allowed 14.5 · On target allowed 6.0 Shots allowed 12.0 · On target allowed 4.3

LTU has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

JyTy LTU

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

JyTy ↓ -0.10 (-3.8%)

LTU ↑ +0.47 (+22.4%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.