Töölön Taisto vs HPS II

17 Sep 2026 · 17:00

OPPORTUNITY

SLIGHT EDGE HOME +2.8 pp

Töölön Taisto

HPS II

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 42.8% DRAW 19.1% AWAY 38.1%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 40.0% 2.30 DRAW 20.5% 4.50 AWAY 39.5% 2.33

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet sees a slight edge for Töölön Taisto relative to the market.

Our calibrated model estimates a 42.8% win probability, compared with 40.0% implied by the market. The 2.8 percentage-point difference suggests a modest divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Töölön Taisto

The home side shows the stronger recent attacking profile, while the defensive comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Töölön Taisto HPS II

Shots 12.0 · On target 7.0 Shots 9.8 · On target 3.8

Recent attacking output favours Töölön Taisto, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Töölön Taisto HPS II

Shots allowed 12.0 · On target allowed 5.3 Shots allowed 10.0 · On target allowed 4.3

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Töölön Taisto HPS II

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Töölön Taisto = (0.0%)

HPS II ↑ +0.05 (+2.2%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.