LPS Helsinki vs Valtti

05 Sep 2026 · 13:00

OPPORTUNITY

SLIGHT EDGE HOME +3.4 pp

LPS Helsinki

Valtti

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 52.2% DRAW 20.5% AWAY 27.2%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 48.8% 2.02 DRAW 21.9% 4.50 AWAY 29.3% 3.37

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet sees a slight edge for LPS Helsinki relative to the market.

Our calibrated model estimates a 52.2% win probability, compared with 48.8% implied by the market. The 3.4 percentage-point difference suggests a modest divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Valtti

The home side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

LPS Helsinki Valtti

Shots 10.5 · On target 5.8 Shots 13.0 · On target 6.0

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

LPS Helsinki Valtti

Shots allowed 7.5 · On target allowed 2.5 Shots allowed 13.5 · On target allowed 5.5

LPS Helsinki has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

LPS Helsinki Valtti

The combined recent performance profile favours LPS Helsinki.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

LPS Helsinki ↑ +0.19 (+10.2%)

Valtti ↑ +0.47 (+16.2%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.