Fjardabyggd vs Dalvik/Reynir

05 Sep 2026 · 18:00

OPPORTUNITY

STRONG EDGE HOME +8.5 pp

Fjardabyggd

Dalvik/Reynir

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 57.3% DRAW 19.3% AWAY 23.4%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 48.9% 1.95 DRAW 21.5% 4.44 AWAY 29.7% 3.21

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet rates Fjardabyggd substantially higher than the market does.

Our calibrated model estimates a 57.3% win probability, compared with 48.9% implied by the market. The 8.5 percentage-point difference indicates a strong divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Fjardabyggd has the stronger recent profile

The home side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Fjardabyggd Dalvik/Reynir

Shots 13.3 · On target 8.3 Shots 7.8 · On target 2.8

Recent attacking output favours Fjardabyggd, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Fjardabyggd Dalvik/Reynir

Shots allowed 8.8 · On target allowed 5.0 Shots allowed 16.8 · On target allowed 7.0

Fjardabyggd has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Fjardabyggd Dalvik/Reynir

The combined recent performance profile favours Fjardabyggd.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home strengthening

Fjardabyggd ↓ -0.20 (-9.3%)

Dalvik/Reynir ↑ +0.57 (+21.7%)

The home price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the home side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.