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Finland Kolmonen · FI

FC Vaajakoski II vs KeuPa

09 Sep 2026 · 18:00
NEAR MARKET +0.8 pp
FC Vaajakoski II
KeuPa
HOME 28.3% DRAW 16.0% AWAY 55.7%
HOME 27.5% 3.40 DRAW 17.5% 5.36 AWAY 55.0% 1.70

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.8 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Defensive Edge: KeuPa

The away side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output
FC Vaajakoski II KeuPa
Shots 16.8 · On target 8.8 Shots 18.0 · On target 7.8

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance
FC Vaajakoski II KeuPa
Shots allowed 14.8 · On target allowed 6.3 Shots allowed 12.8 · On target allowed 4.3

KeuPa has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence
FC Vaajakoski II KeuPa

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home strengthening

FC Vaajakoski II ↓ -1.39 (-29.0%)
KeuPa ↑ +0.28 (+19.7%)

The home price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the home side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.